Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.000518 0.000599 0.000687 0.000787 0.000898 0.001017 0.001154
2025-07-06 0.000380 0.000490 0.000616 0.000770 0.000953 0.001161 0.001413
2025-07-13 0.000323 0.000447 0.000596 0.000788 0.001024 0.001302 0.001650
2025-07-20 0.000278 0.000410 0.000577 0.000800 0.001083 0.001427 0.001870
2025-07-27 0.000235 0.000369 0.000546 0.000791 0.001112 0.001512 0.002038
2025-08-03 0.000199 0.000332 0.000515 0.000777 0.001130 0.001580 0.002186
2025-08-10 0.000177 0.000311 0.000504 0.000786 0.001177 0.001685 0.002381
2025-08-17 0.000155 0.000289 0.000487 0.000786 0.001210 0.001772 0.002552
2025-08-24 0.000131 0.000258 0.000455 0.000761 0.001205 0.001806 0.002655
2025-08-31 0.000110 0.000232 0.000426 0.000738 0.001201 0.001839 0.002755
2025-09-07 0.000097 0.000216 0.000412 0.000735 0.001225 0.001910 0.002906
2025-09-14 0.000086 0.000201 0.000399 0.000732 0.001248 0.001980 0.003058
2025-09-21 0.000074 0.000185 0.000381 0.000722 0.001260 0.002035 0.003192
2025-09-28 0.000063 0.000168 0.000361 0.000707 0.001263 0.002077 0.003308
2025-10-05 0.000058 0.000162 0.000361 0.000723 0.001315 0.002192 0.003529
2025-10-12 0.000053 0.000156 0.000358 0.000734 0.001358 0.002294 0.003733
2025-10-19 0.000046 0.000144 0.000345 0.000726 0.001370 0.002350 0.003872
2025-10-26 0.000039 0.000132 0.000329 0.000712 0.001373 0.002391 0.003989
2025-11-02 0.000036 0.000127 0.000325 0.000721 0.001412 0.002487 0.004189
2025-11-09 0.000032 0.000120 0.000318 0.000721 0.001437 0.002562 0.004358
2025-11-16 0.000026 0.000107 0.000298 0.000698 0.001420 0.002571 0.004429
2025-11-23 0.000022 0.000096 0.000280 0.000676 0.001405 0.002582 0.004502
2025-11-30 0.000019 0.000090 0.000273 0.000673 0.001422 0.002645 0.004654